
Wow- what a difference 8 weeks makes. The bifurcation of the Marin Real Estate market continues now reaching a fever pitch- the low end of the market is literally manic but the high end of the market continues quite slow ex. still no sales yet over $5m in Tiburon for the last 6 months and only 3 over the previous 12 months.
The market for homes below $1.35m has now reached a frenzied bubble-like mania with many homes in this price range receiving 5-20 offers and selling 10% over asking and almost 20% over last year’s valuations. Homes in this price range are now selling significantly OVER the business cycle mean.
Ex. A Recent home in San Rafael received 9 offers (one was a client of The DuPont Group).
My Trailing 12 months Valuation of the property was $696,904
Suggested offer was $791,936
Offer Made: $800,000 25 day close
Approximate Peak market Value (2007)$879,049
Offers higher than Peak Market Value were received
Buyers in this price range are advised to act with caution. A lack of inventory is meeting pent-up demand, combined with fear of increasing mortgage rates; and causing emotion to escalate pricing- very quickly.
There is a bottleneck between the bottom and top half of our market right now that only rising prices can cure.
A little patience will likely save buyers 5%-10%... However and interestingly: with interest rates likely to incrementally rise the actual monthly affordability may not be greatly affected by waiting…
Southern Marin Real Estate Research
Please visit SMREB.com for the latest DuPont Group Marin County real estate market research.
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